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i think a lot of the seniors in the state of florida are concerned that with obama care, they know they are going to lose medicare advantage. there is a million seniors in the state of florida who will lose medicare advantage . president obama and senator nelson whacked away medicare advantage for our seniors and that is concerning and that's why the intensity is up in the state of the florida for republicans. >> in the final days before the election, what is the ground game going to be like? >> get out to vote. we are traveling around the state. i have my bus tour and the romney campaign is focused in the state of florida are getting out the vote and after the election, the story that everyone will be talking about is how well the ground game was done for mitt romney and for me and others to make sure our republican voters get out to the polls, and also independents that have been identified as votes for romney and me. >> i know you have a race going on as well how is your race shaping up at this point? >> it is very good. we feel like we will win by a couple of pointos election day. s
i think a lot of the seniors in the state of florida are concerned that with obama care, they know they are going to lose medicare advantage. there is a million seniors in the state of florida who will lose medicare advantage . president obama and senator nelson whacked away medicare advantage for our seniors and that is concerning and that's why the intensity is up in the state of the florida for republicans. >> in the final days before the election, what is the ground game going to be...
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obama is winning in all three of those states now and by some margin, number one. number two, the job approval rating has been up over 50% now for four months. >> dana: that is not accurate. >> andrea: another thing, after all the negative ads, bob, mitt romney's favorability jumped up higher. the negative advertisements to paint him as a felon, bully and tax evade dor haven't worked. >> bob: his momentum stopped last week. >> andrea: how do you see that? early voting -- >> bob: wait. early voting -- >> andrea: significantly gone in his favor. don't give me that. early voting was so prominent for president obama. and liberals took the network touting it in 2008. >> bob: we'll talk about this after tuesday. >> eric: one more number came out today, unemployment, disturbing. among blacks 14.3%. jumped again. >> dana: the closing argument -- >> eric: very funny. >> dana: sorry. hel >> eric: they are telling us that cbs is announcing that the new york city marathon is officially -- >> dana: i was just going to say that. we're done. several developments on the libya terr
obama is winning in all three of those states now and by some margin, number one. number two, the job approval rating has been up over 50% now for four months. >> dana: that is not accurate. >> andrea: another thing, after all the negative ads, bob, mitt romney's favorability jumped up higher. the negative advertisements to paint him as a felon, bully and tax evade dor haven't worked. >> bob: his momentum stopped last week. >> andrea: how do you see that? early voting --...
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florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven candidates on the ballot. i think those polls that had the plus four, plus five overstated obama's support because they overcounting a strong democratic county, and
florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down...
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i was four years ago. >> sean: that was is former president bill clinton at a campaign stop in florida earlier today. seems like president obama's most high profile supporter is finally coming to terms with the dwindling excitement surrounding the anonned one and he is certainly not alone. even the new york times cannot ignore governor romney's forward momentum and is isitting that pennsylvania s in play. so it pennsylvania support of the bishops jet a possibility? here to talk with us is fox news contributor charles krauthammer. you and i were talking off air. what a back handed complian cot of bill clinton. seems like the president goes and gives christie a hug and promises he will be acting all presidential and then flies off again to of all places las vegas. and since then one in three gas stations are closed. six hours people are waiting in line for gasoline. tempers are flaring. electricity is scarce. and people aren't getting the help they need. janet napolitano says well, we will get it to you as soon as possible. this is five days into this. and i'm thinking that whatever good
i was four years ago. >> sean: that was is former president bill clinton at a campaign stop in florida earlier today. seems like president obama's most high profile supporter is finally coming to terms with the dwindling excitement surrounding the anonned one and he is certainly not alone. even the new york times cannot ignore governor romney's forward momentum and is isitting that pennsylvania s in play. so it pennsylvania support of the bishops jet a possibility? here to talk with us is...
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very, very close to tied and the state swing state polls, which have, except for north carolina and florida, basically have the two candidates either tied, but obama having a one, two or more point lead, as many as five in some state polls, lead over romney. why the discrepancy between the national survey and the state polls? >> the discrepancy is caused by the tremendous number of negative ads that the obama campaign ran against mitt romney over the course of the last six months. a rising tide lifts all boats, but it doesn't lift them quite as far in the battle ground states as it does elsewhere because of all the negative ads that the obama campaign has run. nevertheless, a lot of those states are incredibly close, there are eight states right now that are within less than 3 points. so, who knows which way those are going to go on tuesday. >> paul: there's another a factor here which is interesting in the polling, which is in these head to head surveys in the swing states, president obama typically can't get above 47, 48%, even if he's leading romney by a couple of points, he can't get ri
very, very close to tied and the state swing state polls, which have, except for north carolina and florida, basically have the two candidates either tied, but obama having a one, two or more point lead, as many as five in some state polls, lead over romney. why the discrepancy between the national survey and the state polls? >> the discrepancy is caused by the tremendous number of negative ads that the obama campaign ran against mitt romney over the course of the last six months. a...
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in florida, democrats have the edge when it comes to early voting but not as big of an edge as the obama campaign had back in 2008. early voting on the hole is going to skew to the side of the democrats. republicans tend to been election day. it comes down to which twoud situation is humming on tuesday and which voters are really enthused. >> heather: romney has added another state into the mix, pennsylvania, hoping to end the streak of five contests where the democratic candidate prevailed and 10 percentage points in the latest polls show him with a slight edge over governor romney. how realistic is pennsylvania? >> i still think pennsylvania is a strep for the romney campaign. that being said, president obama and his campaign has spent the last week trying to convince everybody that the move into pennsylvania by the romney campaign is a complete head shake. i am not convinced how tough it is for mitt romney. you notice that bill clinton will be in pennsylvania on monday. aside from president obama the former president is the best surrogate his campaign has. bill clinton is going to be
in florida, democrats have the edge when it comes to early voting but not as big of an edge as the obama campaign had back in 2008. early voting on the hole is going to skew to the side of the democrats. republicans tend to been election day. it comes down to which twoud situation is humming on tuesday and which voters are really enthused. >> heather: romney has added another state into the mix, pennsylvania, hoping to end the streak of five contests where the democratic candidate...
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also very interesting to see, fascinating on both sides, how confident both the romney camp is and the obama camp happens to be at the moment about victory on tuesday, and also very interesting to see what's happening in those states like florida, the key battle zone states where people have been waiting in long lines for hours to cast those early ballots. >> people seem to be very engaged in this election, we're bound to top 130 million people, from 130 to 140 million americans voting in this election, remember, a third or more will already have voted before tuesday, it could go up to 40%, have cast their ballots prior to tuesday. but, this is about, these last few days, are about enthusing the party bases, getting them out to vote and i tell you what's helping, uma, it's what you just said. often at the end of a campaign i find that one side is counting forcing the spin. they think they're going to lose. you eventually catch on to that, and not this time. both of the campaigns and the key people associated with it really do believe they have a path to victory, it's not spin. maybe they're
also very interesting to see, fascinating on both sides, how confident both the romney camp is and the obama camp happens to be at the moment about victory on tuesday, and also very interesting to see what's happening in those states like florida, the key battle zone states where people have been waiting in long lines for hours to cast those early ballots. >> people seem to be very engaged in this election, we're bound to top 130 million people, from 130 to 140 million americans voting in...
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president obama and governor romney making closing arguments. romney visiting three battled ground states, new hampshire, colorado and ohio. ohio west virginia and virginia. voters are heading to the polls in the swing state of florida. today is the last day for early voting and some people waited in lines up to four hour's long. >> recovery efforts underway in the wake of hurricane sandy. some 2.7 million people across 15 states and d.c. remain bought power. gas shortages are major problem for folks across new york, new jersey and connecticut. new jersey is rationing gasoline in 12 counties. i'm rick folbaum. now back to news watch. >>> don't ask, don't tell is back. it's president obama's questions about libya. don't ask and don't tell. >> jon: jay leno taking a shot at president obama over the growing concerns about a cover-up by him and his administration over details surrounding the terror attacks at consulate in benghazi, libya. there wasn't a whole lot of coverage of this story before the hurricane hit. what about after? >> it was obliter
president obama and governor romney making closing arguments. romney visiting three battled ground states, new hampshire, colorado and ohio. ohio west virginia and virginia. voters are heading to the polls in the swing state of florida. today is the last day for early voting and some people waited in lines up to four hour's long. >> recovery efforts underway in the wake of hurricane sandy. some 2.7 million people across 15 states and d.c. remain bought power. gas shortages are major...
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look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically that governor romney is looking at right now, when looks at this and what is the best thing politically president obama is looking at when they look at what is winding down between now and tuesday? >> romney looks at the number among independents and also looks at the possibility of building this national lead and i think closing on the economy. closing with what works for him in terms of making the argument he is the candidate of change. he has to hope for a big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the close and i think president obama has to feel good about how
look at the polls in ohio, today barack obama is almost exactly where george w. bush was in the polls in ohio 8 years ago. look at the job approval ratings, barack obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where george w. bush's approval rating is. the only thing looking better for romney at this point is obama is worse off in the polls. george w. bush had a 1.5 percentage-point lead going into election day and right now it is even. >> greta: rick what is the best thing politically...
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early voting is aco part of the obama strategy to get reelected. democrats are more likely to do early vote republicans turn out on election day and not engage in early voting. the president needs a boost in ohio, florida and seeing big crowds and like in nevada out west as well the other thing to note, the president's travels were significant . they have thought if they look at polls suggesting that the president has a big lead in ohio. why is he coming here six times, the obama camp may be leading but they realize they don't have it locked up f. they had it locked up they wouldn't be here and in they had wisconsin locked up. that is a democraticitate that could go republican because of paul ryan . the president points out that mitt romney has been in places like virginia and florida that he wanted to wrap up and bottom line. both sides have a lot of battle grounds that are up for grabs including right here in ohio. >> edhenry. in mentor ohio. >>> and now to send scott to south carolina in congressman extraordinarye. what is it? a president visiti
early voting is aco part of the obama strategy to get reelected. democrats are more likely to do early vote republicans turn out on election day and not engage in early voting. the president needs a boost in ohio, florida and seeing big crowds and like in nevada out west as well the other thing to note, the president's travels were significant . they have thought if they look at polls suggesting that the president has a big lead in ohio. why is he coming here six times, the obama camp may be...
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in florida, it's closer. president obama at 49% among likely voters. yet mitt romney at 47% among likely voters. one thing that is helping president obama is that early vote, the overwhelming number of people who've already voted early say that they are backing president obama. mitt romney has a little bit of a better score over obama on the economy. in florida, but in ohio it's president obama with the slight edge on who would better handle the economy. >> okay, so what is the interpretation of these numbers, though. does it mean it's all about getting out there to vote? i mean, it looks like president obama has the lead with the early voting. >> he does. and actually, just look at the totality of the poll right now. these two states, ohio and florida, are perhaps the biggest electoral prizes come election night. if president obama is able to win ohio, he secures his midwest firewall, as long as he's able to win wisconsin and iowa. meanwhile, on florida, that is a must-win state for mitt romney with its 29 electoral votes. if somehow he loses that sta
in florida, it's closer. president obama at 49% among likely voters. yet mitt romney at 47% among likely voters. one thing that is helping president obama is that early vote, the overwhelming number of people who've already voted early say that they are backing president obama. mitt romney has a little bit of a better score over obama on the economy. in florida, but in ohio it's president obama with the slight edge on who would better handle the economy. >> okay, so what is the...
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i don't think that obama is favored in florida and colorado and virginia strike me as coin flips. but there's a consistency that's, you know, evident in your map. obama is probably likely to win both colorado and virginia if he wins either of them and if obama wins florida he's probably going to win say virginia and that i think complicates some of the other maps and steve's instance i think he showed obama losing colorado but winning virginia and i think that's possible but unlikely. i think s.e. was right focus on new hampshire and iowa as potential areas of weakness for obama but gosh the polls are getting out of hand for romney in wisconsin. he's down by like seven or eight points in wisconsin. >> i'm counting on cheese heads across the state to pull it out for romney those. >> nate, i've been sticking up for your but after that if you guys are wrong next week you are discredited. thanks for joining us nate cohn. up next politico twi light zone. exploring alternate, election day realities. one of them is pretty scary. keep it here on msnbc, with nonstop politics from here to e
i don't think that obama is favored in florida and colorado and virginia strike me as coin flips. but there's a consistency that's, you know, evident in your map. obama is probably likely to win both colorado and virginia if he wins either of them and if obama wins florida he's probably going to win say virginia and that i think complicates some of the other maps and steve's instance i think he showed obama losing colorado but winning virginia and i think that's possible but unlikely. i think...
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if president obama wins florida, it moves the -- >> i could see florida being -- >> what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt romney. they were going to make him very unacceptable. the wealthy and out of touch background. they did that. they had a micro targeted micromessage strategy. they said what they were going to do. and stuck to that strategy seems to be with remarkable discipline. if it works, they look really, really smart. the difference between being really smart and really dumb -- [laughter] >> what's remarkable is that they broadcast that, right? >> and the romney campaign never -- or his allies never came up to say, boy, if they're goin
if president obama wins florida, it moves the -- >> i could see florida being -- >> what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a...
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in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indiana politics because they don't poll in indiana. i
in florida president obama leading by two points. one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate...
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i have a friend who was volunteering for obama in florida he said it's unbelievable he says very little activity on the romney side. even media are all reporting -- >> let me get -- i think that is clearly true. but let me give a little word of caution on that. look who republicans are. they are essentially middle and upper middle class white people who come out to the polls. look who our base is. typically people who need government most have worst turn out records by virtue of income and education. no matter what the election if they want to win. >> i want to consider -- they talk in terms -- we talked about this before the taping but they talk in terms of the ground game with democrats of this point, more offices, more personnel just having much -- >> like the -- >> republicans are spending their money on tv ads and democrats are spending on the ground game which democrats have decided this election is more important. i wonder if the republicans need as big a ground game because they have the churches. they have the pastors at the mega churches all over this country telling their par
i have a friend who was volunteering for obama in florida he said it's unbelievable he says very little activity on the romney side. even media are all reporting -- >> let me get -- i think that is clearly true. but let me give a little word of caution on that. look who republicans are. they are essentially middle and upper middle class white people who come out to the polls. look who our base is. typically people who need government most have worst turn out records by virtue of income...
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thank you. >>> the state of florida looks like a virtual toss-up between president obama and governor romney. find out why the jewish voting block could become pivotal in that state. if you think running a restaurant is hard, try running four. fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from chase. starts with arthritis pain and a choice. take tylenol or take aleve, the #1 recommended pain reliever by orthopedic doctors. just two aleve can keep pain away all day. back to the news. at meineke i have options... like oil changes starting at $19.95. my money. my choice. my meineke. >>> both candidates are offering their visions for america. president obama says in part, "i believe america's prosperity was built on the strength of our middle class. we don't succeed when a few at the top do well while everyone else struggles to get by. we're better off when everyone gets a
thank you. >>> the state of florida looks like a virtual toss-up between president obama and governor romney. find out why the jewish voting block could become pivotal in that state. if you think running a restaurant is hard, try running four. fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make...
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if president obama, if he does not win florida what does that mean for his path to victory? >> of course the president still can win even if mitt romney were to win florida and virginia and again it all comes down to ohio. because like we just laid out that last path if it becomes very difficult for the president -- for mitt romney to win if he loses florida but with florida, again we got the ohio plus strategy, i like to call it because the president has to win ohio and then he needs one more. he could get colorado, he could get wisconsin and he's right over the top and wisconsin is the one right now that they are looking at, craig. >> for months, president obama winning pennsylvania that's been the theory. romney campaign now says it believes it has a shot at winning that state. if governor romney pulls out a win at pennsylvania how does that shake up the electoral map? >> that would shake it up. pennsylvania now we got ourselves a big state race, mitt romney opening up that pathway. the big problem for mitt romney has been ohio this entire time. that auto bailout messagin
if president obama, if he does not win florida what does that mean for his path to victory? >> of course the president still can win even if mitt romney were to win florida and virginia and again it all comes down to ohio. because like we just laid out that last path if it becomes very difficult for the president -- for mitt romney to win if he loses florida but with florida, again we got the ohio plus strategy, i like to call it because the president has to win ohio and then he needs one...
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here he was in florida today. let's take a look. five stops down there. >> what president obama is saying, look at me, i'm always willing to work with republicans, i work with governor christie in new jersey on sandy. i tried to work with him on the budget. i tried to work with him on health care. and what they say is we'll work with the democrats if you put us in charge. now, that's the message, and you just have to decide whether you think that's a good message. >> there's bill out there. getting all the attention, but it's great. >> there is no better surrogate for anybody than bill clinton. he's very popular in florida. i'll tell what you else, bloomberg, he might as well also be the mayor of broward county. there are so many new yorkers who are dual residents. >> they still read "the new york post" because they think it's liberal. >> they still read "the new york post." florida has 22% independents, people who listen to bloomberg and clinton, and that fema thing i think is also going to hurt romney. >> author think shift used t
here he was in florida today. let's take a look. five stops down there. >> what president obama is saying, look at me, i'm always willing to work with republicans, i work with governor christie in new jersey on sandy. i tried to work with him on the budget. i tried to work with him on health care. and what they say is we'll work with the democrats if you put us in charge. now, that's the message, and you just have to decide whether you think that's a good message. >> there's bill...
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i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in florida. about two million people in a week. because of early voting, democrats have an edge and ballots cast of about 104,000 over republicans. republicans usually do well at mail and absentee ballots. democrats dominate early voting. but guess what? the legislature, rick scott shortened the early voting days. and relative to the early voting hours we had in 2008 in south florida, they essentially cut them by 22% or about 24 hours. so it's going to make a difference. what we're going to see on election day now is a lot of those folks who probably would have early voted, they're going to show up on election day a
i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in florida, that within the margin of error. my team and i were struck with looking at the lines of people early voting in that state today. >> well, those lines are really going to be the indication of how this campaign is going to go. we've had gangbusters early voting turnout in...
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in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and mitt romney will within 234. and the great thing about next week is i will no longer have to say ppp poll. i'm done with that poll. these polls are tight. these polls, you know, i refuse to use the language the poll shows president obama winning 50, because every one of these polls is within the margin of error. every one of them. so they are really showing something that could be a tie, could be tight. for incumbents this is not considered particularly strong polling. when the incumbent is at 48 and the other guy is at 45, that's considered a risky spot for incumbents. >> here
in florida, reuters has president obama at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. in michigan, a ppp poll has president obama at 52% and mitt romney at 46%. and in colorado, a ppp poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 46%. in new hampshire, a new england college poll has president obama at 50% and mitt romney at 44%. tonight, nate silver the "new york times" blog forecasts that president obama has an 81% of winning re-election and that he will win 304 electoral college votes and...
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it's also close in florida. in this poll, obama has a two-point edge. that's within the sampling error. but a mason dixon poll shows obama trailing romney by six percentage points, so a mixed picture there from two different polls in such a key state. >> democrats are hoping, they're only three days away from taking back control of the u.s. house, but as athena jones reports, they face an uphill battle. >> republicans won control of the house in 2010. riding a wave of victory by tea party-backed candidates carrying a message of fiscal conservatism and strong opposition to obama care. so what's going to happen this time around? >> it's all got to go! >> back in september, nancy pelosi had high hopes for her party's prospects. >> we have a very excellent chance to take back the house. >> so did republican house speaker john boehner. >> i continue to feel confident about house republicans' chances of holding on to our majority. >> republicans have 242 seats to the democrats' 193. so democrats need a net gain of 25 seats to win the majority. analysts say th
it's also close in florida. in this poll, obama has a two-point edge. that's within the sampling error. but a mason dixon poll shows obama trailing romney by six percentage points, so a mixed picture there from two different polls in such a key state. >> democrats are hoping, they're only three days away from taking back control of the u.s. house, but as athena jones reports, they face an uphill battle. >> republicans won control of the house in 2010. riding a wave of victory by tea...